Blurb endorsement by Einstein. or waste the most important element in conflict. ; 2) how to map the spread of memes and identify critical nodes in the network that, if influenced somehow, can amplify or dampen signals? An inspiration for changes to maths teaching I pushed in 2011-14, including trying to get a maths for Presidents course going. Some of the. Reckoning With Risk, Gigerenzer. Hes a very unusual thinker and much more right much more often than just about anybody, partly because of how he thinks. I wish there was something similar on the history of the LMB at Cambridge, one of our crown jewels which Whitehall (and the VC office) has gradually buried with stupid regulation. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, read Bret Victor, a rare genius. On expert decisions under pressure, like firemen. Interesting how some fields (e.g airlines, surgery) have significantly improved performance while others have not, and the barriers to improvement. the failure of alignment and/or the inherent drive of high intelligence to escape constraints/control/alignment with others goals? A lot of Boyd (including getting inside your enemys OODA loop) is interpreting Sun Tzu after 2,000 years of case studies proving him right plus some modern ideas. Non-fiction books on politics fail to give you this crucial sense. It was a direct inspiration for my terrorist demand to Boris, July 2019: we must create an ARPA. A history of ARPA-IPTO and Xerox PARC: how the internet and PC revolution was created. Anyone interested in terrorism and counter-terrorism should watch Pontecorvos movie. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. If hed run the Hillary campaign in 2016, no Trump as President. Jean Monnet created the ECSC and EEC/EU. So a philosopher simultaneously prepared the ground for Hitler, deeply influenced todays Left, and personally hated Bismarck and anti-semites. (Also note that the oversight for Groves was a group of just four who met with no secretariat and no formal records.) Can we survive technology?, von Neumann, 1955. He was a businessman who understood systems thinking and was the first head of the Policy Unit in No10 for Thatcher. Book accompanying an OU course. Linked, Barabasi. Again the meta-lesson: while everybody wants to know what are they investing in? almost nobody pays any attention to how do they organise Berkshire, why is it so different, how does this relate to extreme performance?. Also Democracy in America. A widely praised new biography of John von Neumann, the man Einstein, Bohr, Dirac, Pauli et al thought was the smartest person they knew. I enjoyed/learned from Isaacsons biography of Steve Jobs. Orson Welles thought Renoir the greatest director. Steve Jobs advised Obama to do the same but it didnt happen. Many who used them went on to the famous Kolmogorov schools.). Aug 25, 2022. 59. In particular Ill add textbooks, history and philosophy which Ive largely left out. The director was evacuated from the horror of Stalingrad as a child: The city was ablaze up to the top of the sky. The director was evacuated from the horror of Stalingrad as a child: The city was ablaze up to the top of the sky. Pearl led a revolution in thinking about causation from inside the then tiny field of AI. which egg to use for IVF. No question, it's Dominic Cummings. *Come and See ( , Russian). I googled recently after getting no reply to an email and learned to my dismay that he died of cancer last year. David wrote some of the breakthrough papers on quantum computers. The History of the Peloponnesian War, Thucydides. (Also note that the oversight for Groves was a group of just four who met with no secretariat and no formal records.) The insider account of the Manhattan Project by its legendary leader. Thinking, fast and slow, Kahneman. If we could predict events like the fall of the Berlin Wall better it would have huge value. If you want to understand modern culture, the 19th Century smashup of the traditional world with the capitalist, liberal and increasingly atheist world, and what deep forces lie behind the ideas we see all around us, its the best book. Cited by many professional mathematicians as an inspiration. dominiccummings.substack.com. Jean Monnet created the ECSC and EEC/EU. The Signal and the Noise, Nate Silver. Alan Kay, one of those present at the creation, says its by far the best history. You often read versions of those really at the edge of this research do not predict fast timetables. AT&T could only support it when a monopoly. Follow Zvi. , Beinhocker. Popular intro to network theory. Dominic Cummings Offers a Sorry-Not-Sorry for U.K. Lockdown Breach The top adviser to Prime Minister Boris Johnson caused a furor after it was learned he had driven 260 miles to his parents'. Insider account of how the legendary Skunk Works worked by a guy who ran it. 19 Apr 2023 07:47:58 Although Nietzsche despised nothing more than the radical left, he became extremely influential on it, perhaps because nobody else so thoroughly demolishes the foundations of liberal democracy, although, in a further twist, few of the left realise the extent to which they are influenced by him. The most interesting intelligent person writing on American politics who a) really knows a lot of history, b) understands the rationalists but is not of them, and c) whose version of regime change includes ending democracy, is Curtis Yarvin. This is not true of blogs like Marginal Revolution. ), here are some books and a few papers I recommend. This shows the critical meta-lesson again: those in power have no interest in high performance. Its fascinating both for getting hard things done and how to reform science funding. There are fields like professional mathematics and equity investing where institutions mean the best people are recognised over time. If you really are interested in policy and how someone tries to bring principles of high performance to government, this is essential. , John Hoskyns. Then nationalism became generally despised by educated liberals, and so on We cant know how our own ideas will appear in the future but its fascinating how little we try to imagine how foolish our own views will inevitably appear to those looking back on us. Like Hoskyns (below) genuine rare insight and almost totally ignored. I think hes right that most academics assume models for how this works that are clearly not how people really think under pressure. Before the current lockdown scandal, he was best known for. One of Britains most senior and respected civil servants, Michael Quinlan, wrote this paper after retiring. I really liked this classic but a lot was beyond me. , very relevant to discussions on things like drones and AI in Ukraine. A big problem for UK political discussion is people focus obsessively on the immediate interest of the London media rather than trying to think about, . If you havent read it dont read another modern book until you have. , Charlie Munger. , Robert Caro. And notice that despite their vast success Buffett & Munger have had almost zero success in persuading anybody to run their companies the way they run Berkshire! Doing the Impossible, Slotkin. LAncien Rgime et la Rvolution, de Tocqueville. I know some of them. I advised spads and officials to read this in 2019 and ignore the media. Interesting on the psychology of selling and marketing. Looks at the bigshots of modern military thinking. AT&T could only support it when a monopoly. He believed that these clues were to be found partly in the evidence of the heavens and in the constitution of elements(and that is what gives the false suggestion of his being an experimental natural philosopher), but also partly in certain papers and traditions handed down by the brethren in an unbroken chain back to the original cryptic revelation in Babylonia. This will also show you why high performance is so hard it is totally hostile to normal bureaucracies dominated by large numbers of middle managers. Richard Muller. Considered by many in Silicon Valley to be the best book on the details of management. What is moral behaviour is not the same question as what are the principles of high performance in politics! I did pinch ideas from how Bismarck dealt with the Prussian constitutional crisis.). There is a great Commentary by Gomme and Andrewes, two of the great 20th C classical scholars. (NB. , John Allen Paulos (1988). , Gertner. , Flannery OConnor my wife gave me these, theyre little known and absolutely brilliant, the closest to Dostoyevsky of anything in the 20th Century Ive read. Dominic Cummings told Parliament that his ex-boss, Prime Minister Boris Johnson, was "unfit for the job" and that government incompetence lead to thousands of excess Covid-19 deaths. His boss and predecessor was Kelly Johnson who wrote this short list of principles. On dynamic tools, interface design, Seeing Rooms, new ideas about programming, tools for thought, and so on, David Deutschs books. Most educated people remain unaware of how little home environment affects IQ/education nor that modern analysis of DNA has confirmed the data from decades of twin/adoption studies. In all of these struggles I tried to follow Boyds advice such as, and in all of them, as the opponents OODA crumbled I observed what Boyd said would happen: it starts to feel like your opponent is working for you, the more they try, the worse it gets (e.g when Cameron called the press conference to denounce lies about the fact that Turkey was in the process of joining the EU!). The Quark and the Jaguar, Murray Gell Mann. The difficulty comes from the fact its psychologically very hard to stick to and almost all bureaucracies operate with incentives and culture that push in opposite directions. I thought this was outstanding and every young person aspiring to be influential in politics should read it. On connections between quantum physics, computation and information theory. Ive only read a few excerpts of these but reading them all is a project for later this year. I found his Nobel lecture fascinating and I suspect it would be one of the most useful things to force politicians and senior officials to read. Dominic Cummings Dec 13, 2022 40 94 #4 Regime Change, America 2024 Trump's disastrous error. , one of the best movies ever made. No doubt about that Nietzsche produced the climate in which Fascism and Hitlerism could emerge. The politicians soon are on the next current thing too. Skunk Works, Ben Rich. The vaccine taskforce a) created huge value for the UK and the world, b) would no way have happened without [typo original!] On typical problems dealing with statistics, Bayes Theory, and how to improve understanding of probability.

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